Down in Brooklyn there is a race for a US House Seat, vacated by Representative Anthony Weiner, who didn't quite understand the "new media" and felt it was better to resign than bring his party into disrepute.
The conventional wisdom is that this should be a walk over for the Democratic Party nominee, given a 3 to 1 Democratic Party registration edge in the district. However, the Republican nominee has a 6 point lead going into Tuesday's election. This is also the district that has more Jewish voters than any other. The reason appears to be Jewish voters. (Tsuris, as in the article's title, "Oy, Such Tsuris for Obama and the Democrats", is Yiddish for troubles.) The author of the piece is John Podhoretz.
Note that this is a one off election where the incumbent resigned over a sex texting scandal, but the entrails of this election will be closely examined for other indicators. I don't see a 6.8 on the Electoral Scale, but I do think we will see a little shifting of the tectonic plates in 2012.
Hat tip to the Instapundit.
Regards — Cliff
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