For John, BLUF: Global warming is continuing, just not yet. Nothing to see here; just move along.
Apparently CAGW advocate, Scientist Phil Jones, has moved the goal posts for the next increase in global warming, as a result of an August data update from the Met Office, per this article in The Daily Mail, a London tabloid.
Hat tip to the Althouse blog.
Regards — Cliff
Two observations:
ReplyDeleteFirst, this is much like crediting the Obama administration for increasing spending the least among presidents over the last 50 years, and ignoring the fact that it's continuing to spend at the highest rate in history. If things are warm enough to keep melting the glaciers so that ocean levels keep rising, we're still in deep trouble.
Second, observing temperatures over a 15 year period and announcing a definitive conclusion based on that narrow slice of time is statistically flawed. Since 1800 (when did the industrial revolution start?) we've been on a warming trend. It's not even about what's causing it. It's about things like Manhattan being inundated whenever there's a big blow from the South.
Or, to paraphrase some campaign posters I've seen recently: "Hope is not a strategy".
The Mail has had problems reporting climate science in the past. They are generally unreliable.
ReplyDeletehttp://climatecrocks.com/2012/10/15/another-daily-mail-fail-met-office-politely-says-bugger-off-you-bloody-blithering-barmpot/#more-12651
Re Kad, I thought the warming trend started sooner.
ReplyDeleteIt was Scientist Phil Jones who initially picked 15 Years.
Re The Daily Mail, they are up against Scientist Phil Jones. Even match.
[Note to self: Avoid cynicism re Scientist Phil Jones.]
Regards — Cliff
Actually, if I'm not mistaken, the current trend of rising temperatures has been measured to have begun around 1880, so I'm not sure if that was what you meant by "sooner"? The latest rising trend is an extremely recent phenomenon in geological terms, which is why some people are so panicked about it. Here's a very subjective composite graph of the last 2000 years according to a variety of studies: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:2000_Year_Temperature_Comparison.png
ReplyDeleteI would recommend the folowing site more for data than opinion.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/indicators/
NOAA indicated that October was the 332nd consecutive month with an above-average temperature.
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