Thursday, January 9, 2014

China Demographics


For John, BLUF:  China is behind the population curve and will be losing people toward the end of the Century, not that either of us will be around.  Nothing to see here; just move along.



From the web presence Real Clear World, part of Real Clear Politics, we have an article by Mr Joseph Chamie, "Easing China's One-Child Policy Won't Stop Demographic Decline".
In an attempt to mitigate a near-certain demographic future of rapid aging, shrinking labor force and critical gender imbalance, the Chinese government has adjusted its one-child policy.
China has 115 male births per 100 female births and the female fertility rate is 1.6.  Those are not replacement level figures and means a lot of males without brides.  Estimates are up to 25 million males without women.  That is a lot of males getting into trouble.

Isn't demography destiny?

Regards  —  Cliff

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