Fallout From Speaker McCarthy Departure

For John, BLUF:  It looks like the House GOP Majority stumbled badly in oustin Speaker Kevin McCarthy.  But, with some luck they could pull a rabbit out of the hat.  Nothing to see here; just move along.

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Opportunity Knocks:  GOP Can Opt to Turn House Fight Into a 2024 Crucible

From PJ Media, by Commenter Stephen Kruiser, 5 October 2023, 10:50 PM.

Here is the lede plus one:

After having a couple of nights to sleep on it, I have decided that the current GOP drama in the House of Representatives is more of an opportunity than a harbinger of doom for the 2024 presidential election. Actually, I came to that conclusion after one night of sleep, but I’m just getting around to writing about it after two.

If handled correctly, turmoil can lead to opportunity. I view what’s going on with House Republicans as turmoil, not chaos. Yes, I called it a dumpster fire in a recent Morning Briefing headline, but that’s just my process. I briefly lean into the existential dread, get it out of my system, then start looking for silver linings and diamonds in the pile of horse you-know-what.

I lean with Mr Kruiser.  I can see the downside, but soon start looking for the upside, like the little boy, who cries out There must be a pony in here somewhere.  I expect Democrats think they are in the catbird's seat, but I wouldn't be so sure.  Former Speaker McCarthy ran a bi-partisn House, which passed a number of budget bills and a Continuing Reolution for the rest..

The failure of cooperation following the passing of the Continuing Resolution could cause the various Republican Members to coalese around some hard sticking points, disrupting President Biden's plans for the coming year.  For example, there could be a hard line drawn on our Southern Border.  There could be a hard line drawn on the national debt.  The Republcians could grow some backbone.

Further, the Republicans are in a position to cast themselves as the defender of the working men andd women of the nation. in contrast to the college graduate elite.  This could be a Democratic Party blindspot.  Despite Bidenomics, it seems the economic numbers show the working class not rding the crest of a wave.  The jobs added in the latest report were, in good measure second jobs.  And they were in the Entertainment and Hospitality sectors.  However, as immigrants fill up hotels those workers will find their work diminishing, as people no longer travel and stay in hotels.  Why go away to support your football team if you can't get a hotel room.  No hotel room, no need for an airline ticket (nor the alternative of gas stations).  No hotel means fewer meals out. Then there is the impact of inflation, which can be a consequence of government spending exceeding government tax revenue.

I think that not only might there be a shutdown, but it could reboudnd negatively on Democrats.  November a year we will find out.

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff