The Flood Plain Concept

For John, BLUF:  It is all a crap shoot.  Nothing to see here; just move along.

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It’s Time To Ditch The Concept Of ‘100-Year Floods’

This is from The Five-Thirty-Eight Blog, by senior science writer Maggie Koerth-Baker, on 30 August 2017.

A nice, brisk, discussion of the concept of the 100-year flood plain.

The thing about the 100-Year Flood Plain is that it does not mean a flood every one hundred years, but rather a 1% chance of a flood each year.  That means that if you are unlucky (you avoid the tables in Las Vegas or Mohegan Sun) you could have a "hundred year flood" twice in two years.  It isn't some sort of mathematical evil, it is just statistics.

Regards  —  Cliff

Not All Refugees Are the Same (Part Deux)

From my previous post, a continuation.

This is where, I believe Ms Linda Sarsour goes off the rails.  I don't mind her understanding of jihad, as religious struggle.  It is her refusal of assimilation that strikes me as destructive of our American way of life.  Small communities, quiet and respectful of our laws, such as the Amish and the ultra Orthodox Jews of Kiryas Joel do work.  But, not large groups of unassimilated anybody.  If they don't wish to assimilate they should leave our shores, as did several million immigrants.  See, for example, Round-Trip to America: The Immigrants Return to Europe, 1880–1930, by Mr Mark Wyman, about the four million some immigrants who returned to Europe after coming to America.

Regards — Cliff