Saturday, September 17, 2016

A "What If" Question

For John, BLUFGiven how this Presidential Election has gone so far, this is not that far fetched a scenario.  Nothing to see here; just move along.


City Life Host George Anthes let me be a guest speaker at his classes on Wednesday.  As part of my time there I posed the question of how Parties deal with a Presidential Candidate who has to withdraw between the convention and the vote.  I used the Democratic Party, since it is a clean process, without options.  The Democratic National Committee votes on a replacement and it is who wins a majority of the votes.  As a caveat, this is not to suggest that Mrs Clinton has more than a mild case of pneumonia.  It is just the easier case.

The class (and I) came up with four replacement candidates, the current VEEP Choice, Governor Tim Kaine; Senator Bernie Sanders; Vice President Joe Biden; and early Presidential Candidate, Governor Martin O'Malley, of Maryland.

Here is the breakout of class voting:

 Section 1Section 2
Tim Kaine00
Bernie Sanders1722
Joe Biden22
Martin O'Malley00

Which reflected fairly closely yesterday's Rasmussen Poll, "Which Democrat Should Replace Hillary?"

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 48% of Likely Democratic Voters believe Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, Clinton’s primary rival, should be their party’s nominee if health issues forced her out of the race.  Twenty-two percent (22%) say Vice President Joe Biden should be the nominee, while only 14% opt for Virginia Senator Tim Kaine, the current Democratic vice presidential candidate.  Nine percent (9%) of Democrats think it should be someone else.
Regards  —  Cliff

  Fortunately, we have only one recent example, the withdrawal of Senator Thomas Eagleton as Vice President in the 1972 Race, 44 years ago.
  The Republican National Committee can go that route or it can reconvene the Nominating Convention.

No comments: