For John, BLUF: Parties in Office tend to alienate Voters, and thus the Voters shift their loyalty, over time. Nothing to see here; just move along.
Here is the sub-headline:
We looked at how 16 battleground states have voted in the last five presidential elections to see how they might go in 2020
From Five Thirty Eight Blog, by Analysts Elena Mejia and Geoffrey Skelley, 26 August 2020.
Here is the lede:
From one presidential election to the next, the battleground states that make — or break — the election remain largely the same. But that doesn’t mean there aren’t gradual (and sometimes, not so gradual) shifts underway. We zoomed in on how 16 battleground states have voted relative to the country as a whole since 2000 — or how much more Republican or Democratic they are relative to the nation1 — and we found an electoral map undergoing a series of changes, some steady and others abrupt.Charts follow.
It is interesting to find that American do change their minds. That suggests that there are voters out there who are thinking, who are evaluating the political landscape.
That is good news.
Regards — Cliff
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