"Whatayatalk?"

For John, BLUF:  "Ya gotta know the territory."  My thanks to Mr Robert Meredith Wilson.  Nothing to see here; just move along.

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Both parties' ignorance of electoral reality has led to our present political discontents

From The Washington Examiner, by Michael Barone, 5 October 2021, 09:56 AM.

Here is the lede plus one:

Here’s a jarring thought:  Most political analysts and most political strategists for our two political parties have been operating off flawed data and flawed assumptions.  The result has been one political surprise after another and the election of the two most unsatisfactory presidents, in the minds of many voters, since Franklin Pierce and James Buchanan in the 1850s.

The flawed data have been apparent for some years, since a June 9, 2016, column by the New York Times election analyst Nate Cohn.  As he recently reprised in a Twitter thread, his argument was that there are more noncollege white people in the electorate than most analysts, relying on exit polls, believed.

There are links and other data at the original aarticle.

The point is, the political experts don't know the data.  As a result, they are chasing what they think are the voters, but are n0t really the voters.  The entire short article is well worth reading.

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff