The Other Point of View

For John, BLUF:  Political Pundis are jumping the gun with regard to Mr Trump's announcement of a third run.  Nothing to see here; just move along.

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Mick Mulvaney:  Donald Trump is the only Republican who can lose in 2024

Here is the sub-headline:

Former White House chief of staff said his ex-boss’s planned third run for presidency is bad for Republican party

From The Guardian, by Reporter Martin Pengelly, Wednesday 16 November 2022, 07.28 EST.

Here is the lede plus one:

Donald Trump’s announcement of a third consecutive run for the presidency is bad for the Republican party because he is the only Republican who could lose in 2024, Trump’s own former White House chief of staff said on Tuesday night.

Asked on CNN if he thought Trump’s announcement at Mar-a-Lago was good for the Republican party, Mick Mulvaney said: “No I don’t. I think he’s the only Republican who could lose.”

I think Mr Mulvaney is premature in judging the Former President's odds in a 2024 run.  Yes, Mr Trump is facing some headwinds, but so is President Biden, should he chose to run.  Further, Democrats, as a party, face some issues that might mature in the next two years, including the economy and crime.  And how will Mr Hunter Biden's laptop play out?  Will some admit that 2020 saw a major coverup of serious issues?

I would argue that the half-life of a political opinion in these United States is 90 days.  At that point half the Voters have forgotten the issue or don't care.  Yes, the Media can lengthen that time, but not without effort.  Before we start counting folks out we need to wait for the calendar to show at least the second half of 2023.

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff