4 November

For John, BLUF:  Given that the use of "Mail in Ballots" promises untold delays in determining the results of the 3 Novembeer Election, one wonders why the President's question about delaying the election is much different in outcome.  Nothing to see here; just move along.

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Consulting My Magic 8-Ball

From The chicago Boyz, by Sgt. Mom, 3 August 2020.

Here is the lede plus one:

So, last week the Daughter Unit asked me when the new civil war would kick into high gear. Note she said ‘when’ not ‘if’ – for we’ve been in a cold civil war for some time now.  I’d say this cold civil war became manifest with upsurge of Tea Party demonstrations in 2009, and has rumbled along all through the Obama administration, building up reservoirs of bitter anger and resentment ever since.  My personal SWAG is that things will get interesting (and even more interesting for certain values of interesting) late in the evening of November 3, 2020, when the polls close and the first election results are reported.

And no, it won’t make a particle of difference who wins; Trump or Biden, or whoever has replaced Biden as the Great Dem Party Hope.  My sidebar prediction is that the higher echelons of the Democrat Party will realize, probably shortly following the party caucus to be held sometime this month, that Joe Biden has finally and definitively lost track of his single remaining marble, and that there is no possible and convincing way that he can be propped up as a viable candidate.  Whoever has the VP nomination will move up to the top of the ticket and one of the remaining hopefuls will be a replacement.  For all we know, the Dem Party higher-ups may even have decided that what the hell, they don’t have serious hope at all for 2020, and are only naming candidates for this year with an eye towards establishing visibility and a track record for 2024.

In any case, on election night, it will not matter a single particle if the winner is Trump or A Dem Candidate To Be Named Later.  The knives will be well and truly out and on both sides.  If Trump wins, the lefty wokerati will be outraged, insane with rage that they have been let down again.  Their fury after Trump won in 2016 will be as a light thunderstorm compared to the Cat-5 hurricane of fury which will strike in cities which have already demonstrated an inclination to tolerate riots and mob action – all egged on [m]by the national establishment press.

I am hoping for no Civil War.  I will not be surprised in the Democratic Establishment replices their Presumptive Candidate Joe Biden sometime before the election.  I do see President Trump having negative factors holding him back, but I see the Democrats suffering from even greater disabilities, the ongoing civil disorder being amongst them.

Hat tip to Ms Sarah Hoyt, via the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff