The midterms not only dealt a big shock to Democrats but also sent a message to President Barack Obama. According to the new POLITICO Power and the People poll, only 26 percent of the public believes he will be reelected as president in 2012. Inside the Beltway, however, expectations are quite different, with D.C. elites saying he will have a second term by a reverse 2 to 1 margin. (49 percent say re-elected; 23 percent say not).I think it is too early to tell. For sure I would not count President Obama out at this point. There is a lot of time between now and when candidates have to get serious about putting together a campaign staff.
But, at this point it is Barack Obama's to lose. Smarter and more clever politicians than the current President have bowed out before a second campaign.
Looking at the Republican hopefuls one is not hopeful. One is not hopeful about the candidates and about the political pundits. Reporter Dan Balz, writing in The Washington Post, notes that there is "No clear favorite for 2012 GOP nomination".
In the Balz article it was past the jump and three paragraphs from the bottom that we get to folks who I think are serious possibilities. In fact, I would think the Republican Party may, in 2012, go with Governor Chris Christie at the top of the ticket and Governor Bobbie Jindal in the number two slot. That is just my opinion.
Before someone asks, no, I don't think former Governor Sarah Palin will be on the ticket, even though she has more experience than Senator Obama had when he was running. But, I think she will be around, stirring the pot, for some time to come.
Regards — Cliff