For John, BLUF: Success is not promised, it is earned. Nothing to see here; just move along.
Success is a lousy teacher. It seduces smart people into thinking they can’t lose. And it’s an unreliable guide to the future.This is pretty much what Mr Nassim Nicholas Taleb said in Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets.
— Bill Gates, The Road Ahead
Regards — Cliff