For John, BLUF: Answer: "It's Hard to Say". Nothing to see here; just move along.
From the Five Thirty Eight Blog, by Mr Nate Silver, 16 Feb 2018.
Here is the lede:
One of my least favorite questions is: “Did Russian interference cost Hillary Clinton the 2016 election?” The question is newly relevant because of special counsel Robert Mueller’s indictment of 13 Russians on Friday on charges that they used a variety of shady techniques to discourage people from voting for Clinton and encourage them to vote for Donald Trump. That doesn’t necessarily make it any easier to answer, however. But here are my high-level thoughts in light of the indictment.Regards — Cliff
-1, Sat 5.0