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Showing posts with label The Future. Show all posts
Showing posts with label The Future. Show all posts

Friday, August 18, 2023

Do The Right Thing


For John, BLUF:  The link to this article was sent to me twice, once by a Conservative Republican and once by a Progressive.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




From The Old Gray Lady, by Mr Nate Cohn, 17 August 2023

Here is the lede plus two:

AFTER EIGHT YEARS of Republican fealty to Donald J. Trump, few would argue that the party is still defined by Ronald Reagan’s famous three-legged stool of the religious right, fiscal conservatives and neoconservative hawks.

But if the Republican Party is no longer in Reagan’s image, it’s not necessarily a populist-conservative MAGA monolith, either.

The last New York Times/Siena College poll found that only 37 percent of Republicans count as part of Mr. Trump’s loyal base.

The poll shows a Republican coalition as follows♠:
  • The Moderate Establishment (14%).  Highly educated, affluent, socially moderate or even liberal and often outright Never Trump.
  • The Traditional Conservatives (26%).  Old-fashioned economic and social conservatives who oppose abortion and prefer corporate tax cuts to new tariffs.  They don’t love Mr. Trump, but they do support him.
  • The Right Wing (26%).  They watch Fox News and Newsmax. They’re “very conservative.” They’re disproportionately evangelical.  They believe America is on the brink of catastrophe. And they love Mr. Trump more than any other group.
  • The Blue Collar Populists (12%).  They’re mostly Northern, socially moderate, economic populists who hold deeply conservative views on race and immigration.  Not only do they back Mr. Trump, but he himself probably counted as one a decade ago.
  • The Libertarian Conservatives (14%).  These disproportionately Western and Midwestern conservatives value small government.  They’re relatively socially moderate and isolationist, and they’re on the lower end of Trump support compared with other groups.
  • The Newcomers (8%).  They don’t look like Republicans.  They’re young, diverse and moderate. But these disaffected voters like Democrats and the “woke” left even less.
Which of the six an I?  And which are yoou?

Don't think about this as Pro-Trump or anti-Trump.  The Grand Old Party has been around since 1854. (First gatherihng in a Ripon, Wisconsin schoolhouse on 20 March 1854)  It was founded by anti-slavery activists who opposed the Kansas–Nebraska Act, which allowed for the potential expansion of slavery into the western territories.

Picking a political party is picking the future of these United States.

Those who pick the Democratic Party are not bad peoople.  They are our Brothers and Sisters, Cousins and Friends.  It is just that they have picked a party that has, since the 1960s, made choices that have been bad for Middle and Loower Class Americans.

Regards  —  Cliff

♠  Remember, it is The Old Gray Lady and their use of English words may not be exactly the same as yours.

Tuesday, May 24, 2022

Political Archeology


For John, BLUF:  The Rudi Dutschke types of the world envision a long march through the institutions, replacing what exists wiht what is untried.  Better is to build upon what is ats hand and known, improving as we go along.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




Here is the sub-headline:

Ask Frederick Douglass.

From , by Jeff Jacoby Globe Columnist,Updated May 18, 2022, 3:00 a.m..

Here is the lede plus one:

“George Washington University needs a new name” was the eye-catching headline on an opinion column published by The Washington Post last week.  The 750-word essay was written by Caleb Francois, a GW senior majoring in international relations who isn’t happy with his alma mater.  I read the column with particular interest: George Washington University is my alma mater.

Francois indicts GW for its “systemic racism, institutional inequality, and white supremacy,” which he blames for such alleged shortcomings as the fact that the faculty is only 19 percent Black and that “no African languages are taught at GW.”  Although a majority of GW’s students are nonwhite, Francois derides the admissions office for its failure “to ensure a student body with adequate minority representation.”

First off, there is the question of innumeracy.  What percentage of Black Professors would the Writer think is fair?

Then there is the question of the foundation for our nation.  Jesus told us:

That one is like a person building a house, who dug deeply and laid the foundation on rock; when the flood came, the river burst against that house but could not shake it because it had been well built.
Luke 6:48 (NAB)
I think he has a point.  If we discount the Founding Fathers with all their flaws, and the Magna Carta, Declaration of Independence and the Constitution, what is our foundation?  Is it Criticsl Racer Theory?  That seems to go nowhere.  As we do our political archeology we need to find the treasures that are in our past and dust them off and use them to guide us into an ever better future.  Lashing out at George Washington does not advance much.  Finding what was good in him does.  This is a project for each generation.

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff

Wednesday, September 1, 2021

The War Continues


For John, BLUF:  This war has been going on for some 1350 years.  Why would it end now?  Nothing to see here; just move along.




Here is the sub-headline:

The Afghan debacle just marks a new, more murderous phase

From The Washington Free Beacon, by Columnist Matthew Continetti, 20 August 2021, 5:00 am.

Here is the lede plus two:

"I'm now the fourth American president to preside over war in Afghanistan—two Democrats and two Republicans," President Biden said during his speech on August 16.  "I will not pass this responsibly on— responsibility on to a fifth president."  He needn't have corrected himself.  He did indeed irresponsibly bequeath to his successor a terrible situation in central Asia.

The best-case scenario, according to Biden, would look like this:  Afghanistan's reversion to Islamofascism fades from the international headlines.  The Taliban understands that its continued rule depends on its ability to prevent terrorists from launching attacks from its territory.  America goes back to fighting over masks and vaccinations and "building back better," or whatever.

But the best-case scenario is an illusion.  Why?  Because the war isn't over.  Afghanistan is just one front in a global conflict that the United States did not initiate and cannot wish away.  The Cold War did not end when the South Vietnamese government collapsed. Nor will the war on terror or the "Long War" or the "Forever War" cease with Taliban control of Afghanistan.  When participants in the worldwide Salafist-jihadist movement look at the developments of the last week, they don't see reasons to quit their mayhem.  They see the chaos, panic, violence, disorder, and American retreat as a vindication of their ideology and a spur to further action.

The path forward is open to discussion, but the fact of militant Islamic groups working to achieve a worldwide umma should not be ignored.  Not all Muslims, or even most, but some.

This is not like the American Civil War.  When General Robert E Lee surrendered at Appomatox Courthouse on 9 April 1965 he was out of the war and became a loyal US Citizen again.  Yes, there were some holdouts and the KKK, but the war was basically over.  World War II ended with the surrender of Italy, and then Germany and then Japan.  It is not the same with the various Islamic jihadi groups.  Stand by and be alert.

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff

Friday, August 13, 2021

Hurting Our Neighbors


For John, BLUF:  Abusing one's neighbors is not good locally, nor is it good on the international stage.  We have been abusing Canada, regarding their oil production, in the name of the environment.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




Here is the sub-headline:

Biden is taking the heat for higher gasoline prices during the summer driving season

From the Canadian Financial Post, by Reporter Colin McClelland, 12 August 2021 .

Here is the lede plus one:

Wounded after U.S. President Joe Biden cancelled the Keystone XL pipeline that would have shipped Alberta crude to the United States, the province snapped at the White House’s call on the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries Wednesday to raise production faster than planned.

“The Biden administration pleading with OPEC to increase oil production to rescue the United States from high fuel prices months after cancelling the Keystone XL pipeline smacks of hypocrisy,” Alberta Energy Minister Sonya Savage said in a statement Wednesday.  “Keystone XL would have provided Americans with a stable source of energy from a trusted ally and friend.”

This is the kind of good relations with our neighbors to the north that I desire.

Or maybe it is just that Alberta is one of those "Western" Provences, and thus doesn't really count, sort of like those fly-over states in the US.  This is why Speech Boy♠ is wrong when he calls for abolition of the US Senate, at least in my opinion.  The people in different regions have different needs, values and goals and governments should be structured to show some deference to that fact..

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff

♠  "Speech Boy" from his time writing speeches for President Bill Clinton.  Thzt would be Michael A Cohen.  And just like Michael, he dropped notice of a new book to read, MacArthur at War, by Author Walter Borneman.  Great, as thought I am not behind already.

Thursday, July 1, 2021

Top Ten Summer Concerns


For John, BLUF:  It promises to be a long, hot Summer, and interesting.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




Here is the sub-headline:

From American Thinker, by Deanna Chadwell, 30 June 2021.

Here is the lede:

It’s shaping up to be a long, hot summer, one filled -- like Yellowstone Park -- with geysers and hot springs ready to blow at any moment.  But these are political eruptions, not nature's fury.  If I didn’t know that God has things under control I’d be terrified, but in the interest of keeping track of the truth let’s list the top 10 political eruptions we can expect to blow sometime soon.
The List:
  1. Hunter Biden.
  2. Joe’s mental state, but complicated by Kamala’s mental acuity.
  3. Critical Race Theory and the communist infiltration in our schools.
  4. Our 1st Amendment being challenged, and so is the 2nd Amendment.
  5. Inner city violence.
  6. Government spending and the national debt, resulting in inflation.
  7. The border crises/invasion.
  8. The whole mess with COVID-19 origins, treatment suppression, Fauci/Wuhan/Google/Gates and the vaccine side effects.
  9. The election audit efforts.
  10. China.
My top concern is number 3, COVID-19, complicated by items 9 and 1.

With regard to election audits, I believe that President Biden was elected by the Electoral College, and that is final.

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff

Wednesday, May 5, 2021

A Cast System?


For John, BLUF:  Here is a take on the topic of Critical Race Theory, which sees it as a way of binning people and creating a hierarchy, a caste system.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




From PJ Media, by Ms Stacey Lennox, 3 May 2021, 4:23 PM ET.

Here is the lede plus two:

The debate about curriculum based on critical theories is getting a lot of hype for how it impacts the teaching of history and civics. Critical theories can absolutely infect those two subjects, but this ideology is far more pernicious than that. There are curricula for math, science, and English that use the underlying thesis of critical theories that are every bit as damaging as teaching a warped version of history that claims America is built on the original sin of slavery.

Critical theories divide society into groups based on their immutable characteristics. Then, it assigns personality characteristics, motives, and societal roles to children based simply on how they were born. This strategy divides children by race, sex, immigration status, disability, and other characteristics they have no control over. It then assigns roles, such as oppressed and oppressor, based on those characteristics. Marxists learned long ago that dividing people by class was challenging. A content middle class was always a barrier to their progress. Dividing people based on immutable characteristics was more straightforward, and creating a coalition of the oppressed groups became the means to gain power, beginning in earnest in the 1980s.

Critical theories are pernicious because they remove agency and free will from one segregated group and blame the other for any disparity in outcomes between groups. It encourages blame and victimhood based on how children were born. The philosophy calls for outright discrimination against groups seen to be “privileged” historically. Generally, these children are white, male, and sometimes Asian. It follows in lockstep with the philosophy articulated by one of the high priests of critical theories, Ibram X. Kendi. “The only remedy to past discrimination is present discrimination. The only remedy to present discrimination is future discrimination.”

For me the lead into the second paragraph is important to understanding the wider impact on society.  I have modified the first two sentences slightly:
Progressives divide society into groups based on their immutable characteristics.  Then, they assign personality characteristics, motives, and societal roles to voters based simply on how they were born.
We are looking at a form of a political caste system in the United States, with implications for voting, at the local, state and national levels.

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff

Tuesday, April 6, 2021

Our Changing Culture


For John, BLUF:  We look back at the Victorian Era and think how quaint their ideas were.  I wonder if those who follow us will look back on us and think the same way.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




Here is the sub-headline:

Americans privately fear these rules, while publicly appearing to accept them.

From American Greatness, by Historian Victor Davis Hanson, 31 March 2021.

Here is the lede plus one:

There are 10 new ideas that are changing America, maybe permanently.

. . .

Americans privately fear these rules, while publicly appearing to accept them.

Professor Hanson lists ten items, and they all reflect how we are evolving.  And not in a good way.

I am optomistic.  As a Republic we had a glaring defect early on, which gave us a Civil War.  Then we had segregation, which limited life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness, but we mostly made it go away.  We do need a “spiritual” revival that revives the belief in hard work and personal trust that elevates all.  I think of our Nation's Capitol's Quadrants and the contrast I remember from 25 years ago between NE and SE.  If SE can be more like NE and we can avoid a major nuclear blowup with a resurgent (after 500 years) China, or an all out war in the Ukraine, things are going to be peachy. Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff

Wednesday, March 24, 2021

China Going Bust Long Term


For John, BLUF:  Demographics is destiny.  Right now China is the world's most populous nation, with India in a close second.  However, 43 years ago China did something about its population growth.  Now they are seeing the consequences.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




Here is the sub-headline:

China this century is on track to experience history’s most dramatic demographic collapse in the absence of war or disease.

From The National Interest, by Analyst adn Author Gordon G. Chang, March 23, 2021.

Here is the lede plus three:

China this century is on track to experience history’s most dramatic demographic collapse in the absence of war or disease.

Today, the country has a population more than four times larger than America’s. By 2100, the U.S. will probably have more people than China.

China’s National Bureau of Statistics typically releases population data for the preceding year in early March. This year, NBS delayed its announcement because the central government is scheduled next month to announce preliminary results of the 7th national census, conducted in November and December.

The image of Chinese economic and geopolitical dominance will be severely dented when Beijing releases census data. Xi Jinping may believe “the East is rising and the West is declining”—the money line from one of his speeches late last year—but that view will be exceedingly hard to maintain.

It appears that China is continuing to suffer from it's "one child" policy of 1978.  It appears that when a nation changes a social policy unintended consequences follow and reversal of the change is not easy.  It is possible that the head of the Chinese Communist Party, General Secretary Xi Jinping, is whistling through the graveyard.

in order to understand the underlying structure you have to deal in TFR, or Total
Fertility rate
.  That is how many children a woman produces in a lifetime, on average.  The usual number is 2.1.  Nine out ten women have two and the tenth has three.  This allows for child deaths at birth or in childhood.  Mr Gordon Chang goes on:

Beijing has not announced births for last year, but early numbers indicate they plummeted from 2019.  Births in the household registration—hukou—system plunged 14.9% to 10,035,000 last year.  Because births so registered constitute about 80% of total births, He Yafu, a demographer, estimates total births for the country last year came in at 12,540,000.

Yi [Yi Fuxian of the University of Wisconsin-Madison] told me that the number of births for the country was in reality about 8 million and could not have exceeded 10 million.

Again, Yi looks correct.  Provinces and other governmental units have reported data ahead of the census, and births were down more than 30% in some locations.

The big issue is China’s trajectory.  Official media is cagey about a critical figure, the country’s total fertility rate, generally the number of children per female reaching child-bearing age.  The official China Daily reports that Lu Jiehua of Peking University believes the country’s TFR, as the rate is known, “has fallen below 1.7.”

In any event, China’s population will shrink fast. The Chinese Academy of Social Sciences projects China’s population will halve by 2100 if the TFR drops from 1.6 to 1.3.

China’s TFR, however, is far lower than 1.3.  If its TFR stabilizes at 1.2—1.2 [it] would represent a big increase—China will have a population of only 480 million by the end of the century.

In the US we are handling this with immigration.  A map shows Massachusetts at 1.7, below replacement level.  Since I moved here in 1994 we have gone from ten US Representatives to nine.  That is because we lost population compared with the rest of the nation.  The same thing will be happening to China, slowly at first and then in a rush.  The way Author Ernest Hemingway described Bankruptcy in The Sun Also Rises, "Gradually and Then Suddenly."

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff

Sunday, March 14, 2021

Climate Change, Looking Back


For John, BLUF:  Climate change is like evolution itself, inevitable.  I am not sure it will be as rapid as some promise, absent a major event, such as the poles switching or an asteroid impact.  Forget the scientists.  What do the engineers say?  Nothing to see here; just move along.




From Breitbart, by Reporter John Nolte, 12 March 2021.

Here is the lede plus four:

“[M]ost of the beaches on the East Coast of the United States would be gone in 25 years,” the fake New York Times told the world 25 years ago, all the way back in 1995.

Fact check: It’s 2021 and America’s East Coast beaches are doing just fine!

Here’s the relevant portion from the original Times’ article:

A continuing rise in average global sea level, which is likely to amount to more than a foot and a half by the year 2100.  This, say the scientists, would inundate parts of many heavily populated river deltas and the cities on them, making them uninhabitable, and would destroy many beaches around the world. At the most likely rate of rise, some experts say, most of the beaches on the East Coast of the United States would be gone in 25 years.  They are already disappearing at an average of 2 to 3 feet a year.
The date of the article is September 18, 1995.  The headline reads, “Scientists Say Earth’s Warming Could Set Off Wide Disruptions.”
I have a Bachelor of Science degree.  I like science.  I like to follow science.  However, not everyone is a scientist.  Some are propogandists.

There is climate change.  At some point it will get colder and at some point it will get warmer.  Examining the artifacts of the past shows that.

It appears to me that we need an engineering approach to climate change.  An engineering approach that is based on the idea that while world populationj will likely peak below the worse expectations, we are unlikely to arbitrarily bump off a couple of billion folks.  We need to avoid pie in the sky hopes and look at what we can do.  And, we need to avoid extremist views, like that from 25 years ago that all the beaches on the East Coast were going away in 25 years.

And yet, New York Times star science reporter, Mr Donald McNeil, exits over "racist remarks", not science reporting.  He didn't actually use the terms in a racist manner, but as a way of giving full context to what he was relating.  I wish he had gone over the Chimate Change coverage of the New York Times.

Regards  —  Cliff

Thursday, March 11, 2021

Do Political Parties Make Sense

For John, BLUF:  The importance and the cost of Political Parties is always a topic for interesting debate.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




On the Abolition of All Political Parties
Author:  Simone Weil, Translator by Simon Leys
Kindle Version:  96 Pages
Publisher:  NYRB Classics
Language:  English
ASIN:  B00JI48Y3O
Publication Date:  30 September 2014

My friend, John McDonough, producer of Local Access TV Program, City Life Show, wonders why we have political parties.  He thinks those folks down on Capitol Hill should be voting, not as Democrats or Republicans, but as Americans.  Further, he thinks the taxpayers should not be paying to fund partisan political primaries, which are run at the behest of the political parties.  We joust about this on the City Life Show.

It is because of this ongoing discussion that I elected to read On the Abolition of All Political Parties when I saw it advertised.  The fact the author was Ms Simone Weil, added to it's attractiveness.

Ms Weil sees all parties as bad, parties demanding loyalty that should be owed to the truth.

My friend, John McDonough, breaks it down into two parts:

  1. The big picture part is that he believes that the first duty of elected office holders is to do what is good for the United States of America.  He sees parties as getting in the way.  This is sort of like Senator Chuck Schumer arguing that Republicans voted for acquittal not because Messers Schiff and Nadler made a mess of the Impeachment presentation but out of party loyalty.  I would think one could also make the argument the other way round.  But, the point is, the vote was tainted, either way, by every Senator belonging to a party.  And they do, even Senator Bernie Sanders.
  2. His second point is smaller, but maybe even more important.  He argues that since parties are, in essence, private clubs, like the Moose or the Elks, the taxpayers should not fund their elections, which we call primaries.  We don't pay for the elections held by the Moose Lodge or the Elks.  Why should we pay for elections by the Democrats or Republicans?
My response is (1) "parties" automatically form when there are differences as to the best way forward for America and (2) it is better for Government to run primaries, since they can do it more efficiently and effectively (cf. Iowa 2020) But, back to our author, Ms Simone Weil, she bases her thesis on her reading of Philosopher Jean-Jacques Rousseau, a Genevan philosopher, writer and composer, who died in 1778.♠  She writes:

Rousseau took as his starting point two premises.  First, reason perceives and chooses what is just and innocently useful, whereas every crime is motivated by passion.  Second, reason is identical in all men, whereas their passions most often differ.  From this it follows that if, on a common issue, everyone thinks alone and then expresses his opinion, and if, afterwards, all these opinions are collected and compared, most probably they will coincide inasmuch as they are just and reasonable, whereas they will differ inasmuch as they are unjust or mistaken.”
With parties we put down our hunt for truth and go with the party, thus taking up passion.  In the view of Rousseau this can not be good.  We have to think out the answer and come to truth.  Passion will only lead us astray.  In fact, it will cause us to deny truth.  She cites young women supporting the Gaulist cause in World War II as arguing:
‘Truth is relative, even in geometry.’  Indeed, this is the heart of the matter. (Location 225)
The nice thing, the beautiful thing about geometry is that it is always true and there is no relativity.  Yes, with trigonometry there is the trig function sine, which except for 0, 30 and 90 go out past the decimal point for large numbers or numbers.  The fun thing about the ssine for 30 degrees is that it is a nice, solid 0.50 and will be, no matter how many places right of the decimal point one goes.

The problem comes in understanding truth.  For Ms Weil, fighting the Third Reich, during World War II, the truth is obvious.  Right is obvious.  The bind comes after peace breaks out and the discussion becomes less existential, but more about how to improve the lives of others.  Then there are different truths.

And example of different truths is the question of how to improve the lives of workers.  Some wish to grow the pie, giving everyone more money, even if some get a lot more money.  Others think it is important to more evenly divide the pie, to help the less well off, even if it means taking from those who today have a bigger slide of the pie.

The word ‘party’ is taken here in the meaning it has in Continental Europe.  In Anglo-Saxon countries, this same word designates an altogether different reality, which has its roots in English tradition and is therefore not easily transposable elsewhere.  The experience of a century and a half shows this clearly enough.  In the Anglo-Saxon world, political parties have an element of game, of sport, which is only conceivable in an institution of aristocratic origin, whereas in institutions that were plebeian from the start, everything must always be serious. (Location 84)
Even in 2021, when the tension between parties is almost palpable, the basic Anglo-Saxon view and values remain.  While we can say how things should be, that does not mean it is how they will be.  We should be cautious of abolishing parties.  We don't know the eventual outcome.

Regards  —  Cliff

♠  Per Wikipedia, His political philosophy influenced the progress of the Enlightenment throughout Europe, as well as aspects of the French Revolution and the development of modern political, economic and educational thought.

Wednesday, March 3, 2021

COVID-19 A Year On


For John, BLUF:  Basically, Blogger Sarah Hoyt is asking, where is the science?  Nothing to see here; just move along.




From According to Hoyt, by Novelist Sarah Hoyt, Daughter -in-law of liberty, 2 March 2021.

This is a long Blog Post, with a lot of different input vectors,  It basically says that we overreached in responding to COVID-19 (Winnie the Flu) and we, by and large, don't know how to back out.

I am thinkjing the lockdown is giving her a bit of depression, because in the middle of the Blog Post she writes:

Right now I see two ends.  One of them has the astronauts in the ISS trying to get Earth and getting no response, because the madness escalated, and everyone is dead.

The other?  The other cuts 100 years ahead to cavemen scratching the soil amid the ruins of the civilization of “the gods” who came before them.

I don’t like either.  I always thought those endings were a cheap cop-out.

I am not as pessimistic a Ms Hoyt.  That said, there are no promises, except of Heaven.  Civilization has regressed in the past.  The future depends upon us.  We have to maintain what we have and build on it for the future of our children,  If we in the West falter then we could have a social credit civilization currated by the Marxist Regime out of Beijing.  Which is, in some ways, a return to normal, a continuation of a 6,000 year old political system with a nomenclatura.

The first reader comment was:

TL;DR:  The Left is basically a Cargo Cult.
There is that.

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff

Monday, March 1, 2021

Where Are We Now?


For John, BLUF:  Last Summer the Black Lives Matter marchers, and ANTIFA, were threatening the Nation, one block at a time.  This is from that period.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




From The New York Post, by Reporter Mark Moore, 25 June 2020, 9:19am.

Here is the lede plus two:

The president of Greater New York Black Lives Matter said that if the movement fails to achieve meaningful change during nationwide protests over George Floyd’s killing by Minneapolis police officers, it will “burn down this system.”

“If this country doesn’t give us what we want, then we will burn down this system and replace it.  All right?  And I could be speaking figuratively.  I could be speaking literally.  It’s a matter of interpretation,” Hawk Newsome said during an interview Wednesday evening on “The Story” with Martha MacCallum.

“Let’s be very real,” he told the Fox News host.  “Let’s observe the history of the 1960s, when black people were rioting.  We had the highest growth in wealth, in property ownership.  Think about the last few weeks since we started protesting.  There have been eight cops fired across the country.”

The question is, how will this Summer turn out.  The election of Democrat Joe Biden is no guarantee of peace in the streets.  Further, in some Cities Police forces have been reduced.

It could be a very interesting Summer.  I wish President Biden and his Administration the very best of luck.

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff

Tuesday, February 23, 2021

Our Magnetic North Pole


For John, BLUF:  If you want to worry about the Environment, worry about this.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




From Space, by Reporter Mindy Weisberger, 22 February 2021.

Here is the lede plus two:

A reversal in Earth's magnetic field thousands of years ago plunged the planet into an environmental crisis that may have resembled "a disaster movie," scientists recently discovered.

Our planet's magnetic field is dynamic and, numerous times, it has flipped — when the magnetic North and South Poles swap places.  In our electronics-dependent world, such a reversal could seriously disrupt communication networks.

But the impact could be even more serious than that, according to the new study.  For the first time, scientists have found evidence that a polar flip could have serious ecological repercussions.  Their investigation connects a magnetic field reversal about 42,000 years ago to climate upheaval on a global scale, which caused extinctions and reshaped human behavior.

This could be a global catastrophy.  We could see extinctions, as species fail to adapt.  Life could be very hard for several hundred years.

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff

Saturday, February 13, 2021

Looking to the New GOP


For John, BLUF:  Here is a more optomistic view of the outcome of the Impeachment Trial.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




From Wretchard Blog, by Blogger Richard Fernandez, 13 February 2021.

Here is the lede plus one:

“A conviction would have also set the stage for a vote to bar him from serving in public office again.”  The outcome leaves the populist forces in the field and the old GOP party in the dust.

Up next:  the battle to define conservative politics as Biden faces a new world.

I think the Democratic Party Leadership is not satisfied, but as Richard says, their options are narrowing.

And, the interesting question is the platform and personalities of the Conservative/Liberal (vice Progressive) party that emerges going forward.

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff

Wednesday, January 20, 2021

Congratulations Mr President


For John, BLUF:  We have a new President and our hopes are in him.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




We should all be wishing him the very best as he tackles the problems our nation faces.

Prayer would be appropriate, a s it says in 1 Timithy 2:1-3, we should pray for those in government positions.

Regards  —  Cliff

Thursday, December 3, 2020

2021 and Beyond


For John, BLUF:  If President Trump is not Inaugurated for a Second Term on 20 January, then were will we go?  Will DJT fade away or will he start the run for 2024.  This should be of interest to all of us of a Classic Liberal bent, rather than a Progressive orientation.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




From Don Surber Blogspot, by Reporter Don Surber, 23 November 2020.

Here is the lede plus one:

A few lefties are getting ahead of their skis and imagining, as Comrade Ed Kilgore in New York magazine put it, Trumpism without Trump. No thanks. I remember Reaganism without Reagan.  It was headed by the first Bush whose administration was about what one would expect from a former CIA director.
This is an interesting contemplation of what the future might bring of the Election does goes to Candidte Joe Biden.

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff

Monday, March 2, 2020

A Military Revolution?


For John, BLUF:  We hear about these things from time to time.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




Here is the sub-headline:

Times have changed and America can no longer project its military power like it did in Iraq. Those days are over.

From Russia Insider, Mr Dmitry Orlov, republished now, but first published on 21 April 2018.

Here is the lede plus four:

For the past 500 years European nations—Portugal, the Netherlands, Spain, Britain, France and, briefly, Germany—were able to plunder much of the planet by projecting their naval power overseas.  Since much of the world’s population lives along the coasts, and much of it trades over water, armed ships that arrived suddenly out of nowhere were able to put local populations at their mercy.

The armadas could plunder, impose tribute, punish the disobedient, and then use that plunder and tribute to build more ships, enlarging the scope of their naval empires.  This allowed a small region with few natural resources and few native advantages beyond extreme orneriness and a wealth of communicable diseases to dominate the globe for half a millennium.

The ultimate inheritor of this naval imperial project is the United States, which, with the new addition of air power, and with its large aircraft carrier fleet and huge network of military bases throughout the planet, is supposedly able to impose Pax Americana on the entire world.  Or, rather, was able to do so—during the brief period between the collapse of the USSR and the emergence of Russia and China as new global powers and their development of new anti-ship and antiaircraft technologies.  But now this imperial project is at an end.

Prior to the Soviet collapse, the US military generally did not dare to directly threaten those countries to which the USSR had extended its protection.  Nevertheless, by using its naval power to dominate the sea lanes that carried crude oil, and by insisting that oil be traded in US dollars, it was able to live beyond its means by issuing dollar-denominated debt instruments and forcing countries around the world to invest in them.  It imported whatever it wanted using borrowed money while exporting inflation, expropriating the savings of people across the world.  In the process, the US has accumulated absolutely stunning levels of national debt—beyond anything seen before in either absolute or relative terms.  When this debt bomb finally explodes, it will spread economic devastation far beyond US borders.  And it will explode, once the petrodollar wealth pump, imposed on the world through American naval and air superiority, stops working.

New missile technology has made a naval empire cheap to defeat.  Previously, to fight a naval battle, one had to have ships that outmatched those of the enemy in their speed and artillery power.  The Spanish Armada was sunk by the British armada.  More recently, this meant that only those countries whose industrial might matched that of the United States could ever dream of opposing it militarily.  But this has now changed:  Russia’s new missiles can be launched from thousands of kilometers away, are unstoppable, and it takes just one to sink a destroyer and just two to sink an aircraft carrier.  The American armada can now be sunk without having an armada of one’s own.  The relative sizes of American and Russian economies or defense budgets are irrelevant:  the Russians can build more hypersonic missiles much more quickly and cheaply than the Americans would be able to build more aircraft carriers.

This is a problem, unless we get a counter.  We can pretty much stand down the Army, since, aside from Airborne and SOF, they won't be going anywhere.

Hat tip to my friend Ricard Byrd.

Regards  —  Cliff

Tuesday, February 18, 2020

Who Is Bernie?


For John, BLUF:  People have been talking about the "Corbynization" of the Democratic Party for a while.  sometimes it was about Antisemitism and sometimes about ideas on how to organize the economy.  Infrequently it touches on individual freedom.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




From CAPX, ♠ By Ryan Bourne, 17 February 2020.

Here is the lede plus one:

  • It is wrong to downplay just how radical Bernie Sanders would be
  • Sanders is no European-style social democrat - just look at his platform
  • You thought Corbyn was radical? Just wait till you see Bernie Sanders' proposals
It may be early days in the Democratic primary race, but Bernie Sanders is now the favourite to win the party’s nomination and set up a Trump-Sanders presidential election.

As the prospect of Sanders winning becomes ever more real, some commentators are downplaying his socialist credentials, painting the veteran Senator as no more than a moderate social democrat.

“Memo to left-wing Americans who adore Sanders’s radical ‘socialism’…” says Al Jazeera’s Mehdi Hasan, “in most other Western/European countries, Sanders would be considered a pretty mainstream, centre-left social democrat.”

His view is shared by the economist Paul Krugman. Dastardly Republicans might have the audacity to use Sanders’ own preferred label to describe him, but since he doesn’t want to “nationalise our major industries” or “replace markets with central planning”, Sanders “isn’t actually a socialist.”  Ignore scare stories about Venezuelan economics then, Krugman advises.  Sanders just wants the US to look more like Denmark.

Krugman is right to say that Sanders shuns nationalisation.  To simply label him a socialist, without any caveats, is misleading.  But it’s even more grossly misleading to suggest his “democratic socialist” ambitions stop at a Scandinavian-style welfare state.  More redistribution is central to his agenda, sure, but he also proposes massive new market interventions, including the Green New Deal, a federal jobs guarantee, expansive price and wage controls, overhauling labour and corporate governance laws, and enforced mutualisation of companies.

Based on his performance as a prognosticator during the era of Trump, I wouldn't put a lot of trust in Dr Krugman's views.

I wounder why the media is not working on helping us understand the core of Senator Sanders' beliefs.  It is one thing when he is one of one hundred Senators, and from Vermont at that.  it is another if he is President, with a pen and a telephone.

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff

♠  From the Centre for Policy Studies.

Tuesday, February 4, 2020

Krugman Recants, Sort Of


For John, BLUF:  The election of Donald John Trump, Representative Adam Schiff notwithstanding, is not the end of the world.  I am not even sure you can see the end of the world from here.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




From Red State, by Sister Toldjah, 3 February 2020.

Back in 2016 (9 November 2016) Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman wrote, in The New York Times, that the markets were going down, for a very long time.

Still, I guess people want an answer:  If the question is when markets will recover, a first-pass answer is never.
Dr Krugman has his PhD in Economics and his Nobel Prize in the same area.

So, recently he had to reevaluate his prediction.  He was being interviewed by PBS's “The Firing Line” host Margaret Hoover:

“The economy is doing pretty well at the moment.  Do you agree?” Hoover asked.

“Yeah,” Krugman admitted.  “I mean… there’s a lot of stuff that we’re not taking care of that we should be taking care of, but look — best estimate is that Trump has added about $300 billion at an annual rate to the budget deficit.  That’s a big stimulus.  That’s almost as big as the Obama stimulus at its peak.  So, sure.”

He then claimed that the results of the stimulus were “little bang for the buck” considering the size of the deficit.

“So the Trump economy hasn’t been all bad?” Hoover pressed.

“No,” Krugman replied.  “I mean, full employment is good. Those of us who were screaming for more stimulus back in the days when unemployment was nine percent still think that some stimulus is good even now.”

Now, if the Democrats can see this and adjust their their arguments, we might make some progress.

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff

Friday, January 31, 2020

Bernie as President


For John, BLUF:  Bernie's background does raise questions about his understanding of politics and economics.  Nothing to see here; just move along.




From PJ Media:  The Morning Briefing, by Opinionator Stephen Kruiser, 31 January 2020.

Is this a fair question?  Where would you put Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro on that scale?  Cuba's Castro (or Che)?

A line I have seen before, but separately saw this AM, "Socialism, where you vote yourself in but have to shoot your way out."

Hat tip to the InstaPundit.

Regards  —  Cliff