The EU

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Wednesday, February 24, 2010

The Key Election in 2012?

Probably for the position of President of Mexico.

Whoever we elect as US President will muddle through for four more years.  Well, that is not guaranteed.  Mr Charles Munger, Warren Buffett’s longtime business partner in Berkshire Hathaway, sees the U.S. economy in trouble, and said so in Slate.

But, here is a comment by someone I know on the internet:
It's not a given to me that the Presidente that follows [President Felipe] Calderon is going to continue to fight the drug wars, or that he will be friendly to us.  Clearly, capturing a friend at the top in Mexico would be a coup for [Venezuelan President Hugo] Chavez.  It is also not a given that he himself will still be in office by 2012, but I'm not betting against him.
A hostile Mexico on our border, or even one that is just badly broken, will be a major problem for us.  While we can't, and shouldn't, fix Mexico's problems, we need to be attentive and helpful.

For example, if you are a happy and fully employed Mexican, why would you try to do the illegal border crossing thing to the US?  On the other hand, if Mexico is broken and you need a job, why wouldn't you try the United States?

A good outcome in 2012 means doing the groundwork today.  The clock is ticking.

Regards  —  Cliff

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