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Sunday, January 1, 2012

Egypt-Israel Peace Treaty

Here is a report that political parties in the new Egyptian democracy are suggesting a referendum on the Egypt-Israel Peace Treaty.
Rashad Bayoumi, deputy Supreme Leader of the Brotherhood, told the London-based newspaper Al-Hayat on Sunday it respects international treaties and will leave the issue of the peace treaty in the hands of the people.  The pact was signed by then-Egyptian president Anwar Sadat and Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin, but a "cold peace" has set in over the past several years.

“People will express their opinions on it.  All parties can reconsider the treaty and Egyptians haven't yet had their say,” he explained.  “We won't violate the treaty.  We can put it for referendum among people or parliament,” Bayoumi said.
Is that confusing?  The Muslim Brotherhood won't change the treaty, but perhaps The People will.

The Muslim Brotherhood won about 40% of The first round of voting for the Egyptian legislature.  The anti-Israel Salafi al-Nour party won almost 30% (one report has it at a still significant 20%).

One view is that the Muslim Brotherhood will reference the example of the Prophet, who revoked the treaty with the Quraish Tribe and established the doctrine and concept of hudna in Islamic Jihad [warfare to establish the religion of Islam in the world], announcing that treaties are in effect, merely cease fires to allow Islam and the forces of Islam to strengthen and when the time is right, re-engage in the jihad, which is a mandatory fact of Islamic destiny, law and doctrine.

Another view is that Israel is inherently flawed and it should therefore go away.

But, this is politics and the role of the Egyptian Army is key.  The question is, is Egypt still a Mamaluke form of government, with the Army a strong force, or is it becoming a democracy?  As one person put it,
An Army that immediately falls into slavish devotion to the new regime will clearly constitute a much more serious problem for the region (and for Israel) than an Army which maintains some autonomy and distance (and freedom of operation) from the regime.
For the sake of the Egyptian People I am hoping the vote is for peace.  Otherwise many will suffer.  For example, 12% of the Egyptian workforce is based on tourism.  But then the aforementioned Salafists Nouri party thinks the Pyramids are idolatrous and mixed sex beaches should be banned.  It reminds one of the Taliban in Afghanistan, who blew up the Banyam Buddhas.

Regards  —  Cliff

3 comments:

Jack Mitchell said...

Islam is a nationally significant faith from Morocco to Indonesia. Yet, the only domino America obsesses over is Israel.

This whole game of intrigue is tedious.

................................
MS. NULAND: Good afternoon, everybody. Before we do our regular daily briefing, we have a special briefing today on U.S. arms sales to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. With us today, we have Assistant Secretary of State for Political-Military Affairs Andrew Shapiro, and we have Principal Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Policy James Miller.

So without further ado, Assistant Secretary Shapiro.

QUESTION: Can we attribute the on-time nature of this briefing to the fact that someone from the Pentagon is here? (Laughter.)

MS. NULAND: Absolutely. We have military discipline – (laughter).

ASSISTANT SECRETARY SHAPIRO: Well, thank you everyone for coming this afternoon. And as Toria mentioned, I’m joined by Principal Deputy Under Secretary of Defense Dr. Jim Miller.

As you may recall, in October 2010, I officially announced the Administration’s plan to sell to Saudi Arabia a significant defense package that would include advanced F-15 fighter aircraft and helicopters. We are pleased to announce that over this past weekend, the United States and Saudi Arabia signed a letter of offer and acceptance for the sale of up to 84 advanced F-15SA fighter aircraft. It also includes upgrades to its current fleet of 70 F-15 aircraft, as well as munitions, spare parts, training, maintenance, and logistics.

This sale is worth $29.4 billion. These F-15SA aircraft, manufactured by the Boeing company, will be among the most sophisticated and capable aircraft in the world. This agreement serves to reinforce the strong and enduring relationship between the United States and Saudi Arabia. It demonstrates the U.S. commitment to a strong Saudi defense capability as a key component to regional security.
-snip
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Follow the link. They discuss the 2 "I" countries.

C R Krieger said...

I went back a week and got lost.

Yes, Israel is an important factor in US politics.  I don't think there is any way around it, baring an exchange of voting populations with another nation.

I am not sure I see the intrigue, but the cultural understanding takes a lot of time and effort.

We can fix the Israel thing by the creation of Jewish Dakota and the forced expulsion of the Jews from Israel.  On the other hand, that doesn't seem like a good thing either.

As for Saudi Arabia, they and the Israelis are virtual allies.  The Near East and Middle East are strange and interesting neighborhoods.

Regards  —  Cliff

Jack Mitchell said...

Is the American further embrace of SA an attempt to balance Iran? Very likely. They are Persian and Shiite.

But, what of balancing Egypt? How? Back channel diplomacy?

It so convoluted. Some profit. Others die, violently.