For John, BLUF: As you note sometimes, Parties are not as important as personalities. Nothing to see here; just move along.
From the Five-Thirty-Eight Blog and reporter Clare Malone, mid-afternoon on Monday, we have "If You Want To Understand What’s Roiling The 2016 Election, Go To Oklahoma".
Here is an indicator:
The Bowermanns were supporting the Vermont senator, but “believe it or not, our second choice is Trump,” said Sherelle, 73. In a general election, given the choice between the Manhattan businessman and Clinton, they would vote for Trump.These kinds of things confuse pollsters and political operatives.
Regards — Cliff